Do you know how WWE likes to remind viewers of a wrestler’s, ahem, “odds” for winning a multi-person match, saying such nonsense like “Wrestler X has only a 33 percent chance of winning this triple threat match”? You’d be better off using “Steiner Math”.
Obviously, WWE’s idea of win probability, which operates under the premise that every wrestler has a 50/50 chance to win a singles bout, should disqualify them from ever mentioning numbers on their shows again. If the Chicago Bulls played the Los Angeles Lakers today, the Bulls — who are much worse than the Lakers, mainly because the Lakers employ LeBron James — wouldn’t have a 50 percent chance to win. There’s a difference between possibility and probability, and the sooner WWE learns that, the better.
MLW wised up to this reality quickly; they have even gone as far as having the announcers note what a wrestler’s win probability is when they, say hit springboard moves or connect with a certain number of strikes.
For AEW to further enhance the sports-like immersion for fans, this is something they should look into adding. Doing so could help the audience better understand what strategies certain wrestlers employ going into a match — and how it changes based on the opponent.